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Friday, January 18, 2008

Conference Championships

Damn, if I didn't have 17 weeks of results to prove otherwise, a person might start to think I know what the hell I'm talking about. 3-1 again last weekend and I remained undefeated in the betting picks in the postseason with 2 more payoffs. With only three NFL games to get my bankroll back to even before I can begin throwing it away on basketball and hockey games, we're betting just about everything we can this weekend. All picks are money picks this week.

Playoff Picks: 6-2

Money Picks*

PACKERS -7 over Giants: Eli came through for us again last week, and for the first time in his career he actually looks like he's enjoying himself and is excited to be playing football. But he's not there yet. Beating a Dallas team that's been mailing it in for the last month in a warm weather game is a little different than beating a revitalized Brett Favre on the frozen tundra. Don't feel bad Eli, you've exceeded everyone's expectations this year and even lasted longer than big brother. Packers: 31-17

Packers/Giants over total (39.5): I've been smoking hot on the over/unders all year, and the Packers proved last week that they can put up points in any weather conditions. We're probably gonna need two touchdowns out of Eli to get this done, but I'm confident that this one hits for me.

Chargers +14 over PATRIOTS: This is crazy, even if Philip Rivers was definitely playing(still day-to-day) this would be a foolish bet, but with Billy Volek running a Norv Turner offense with LT and Antonio Gates not at 100% it's bordering on fucking insane. I'm not talking about bungee jumping or eating fugu, I'm talking about 16 skinned, headless bodies in your freezer insane. Like Kevin Spacey in Se7en insane, but what can I say, the voices in my head say go for it. The Patriots have only covered the spread once in their last seven games, but they are still getting inflated spreads thanks to all the early season games when they ran up the score on their opponents. The Chargers defense should be able to keep them mostly in check, and if the Charger offensive line can keep the blitzes off the Volek long enough for him to chuck the ball up, Vincent Jackson should be able to abuse the NE secondary enough to keep this one close. Patriots: 31-24

Patriots/Chargers over total (46): This one pretty much comes down to the Chargers. If they can put up at least 17 points, the over won't be a problem.

2-team teaser: When has a teaser ever NOT paid off. Really it's like taking candy from a baby. A really, really, pissed off baby grizzly with momma backing it up.
PACKERS -1 over Giants
Chargers +20 over PATRIOTS

4-team teaser: That's right bitches, it's time to put up or shut up. Normally I wouldn't publish all my bets, but when you're on a hot streak you gotta chase it until you run out of track.
PACKERS -1 over Giants
Chargers +20 over PATRIOTS
Packers/Giants over total(33.5)
Patriots/Chargers over total(40)



Playoff Bets: 3-0

*Note: 5 out of 5 doctors recommend NOT following this advice. If you value your money at all, you should seriously consider NOT betting on the advice of an anonymous internet blogger.

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