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Thursday, December 6, 2007

Time for another streak buster

We're gonna get this out of the way a day early this week since I will be traveling the rest of the week.

In 2004 the Patriots were on a 21 game win streak going into a game against the Steelers and their streaking rookie QB Ben. Ben and the hard blitzing Steeler D forced Brady into turnovers and beat the Patriots 34-20 in Pittsburgh on their way to a 15-1 season. This year they look to spoil the Patriots attempt at an undefeated season. The Patriots haven't looked this vulnerable all year, coming off of near losses to the Eagles and the Ravens. The Steelers have won two in a row since dropping an embarrassing loss to the Jets in New York. It won't be an easy game. For one thing, they will have to get used to playing on solid ground again after their last two games on the soft mud of Heinz Field. The Steelers will also have to play much cleaner ball than they did against the Bungles last week when they had 4 turnovers plus two more that were overturned after review. On the plus side, the defense has been playing very well and the secondary has been stout, even without Polamalu who they'll get back this week. In their last two games, the Patriots pulled out the win in large part due to late mistakes by their opponents. I'm talking to you Fast Willie...maybe use a little extra stickum this week, and for Dog's sake, take off the damn sleeves. I've got to question the wisdom of 2nd year safety Anthony Smith guaranteeing a win though. A win and a browns loss clinches the division for Pittsburgh.

Ended with another good week last week going 10-6, but only managed 2-2 on the money picks. I still finished in the green thanks to a late play on the under in the Steelers game after I saw the weather in Pittsburgh. We're now only 7 games under .500 for the year. We probably won't get that back this week, but we're streaking now, and with 4 weeks left, we should be well above .500 by the end of the regular season.

Bears +3 over REDSKINS: What a heartbreaker for the Redskins last week. On the day the NFL was honoring Sean Taylor, they let the win slip through their fingers, capped off by a ridiculous double timeout by their senile coach Joe Gibbs that moved the Bills game winning field goal from a difficult 51 yards to a relative chip shot of 36 yards. Then after Taylor's memorial service on Monday, the Redskins have to play a Thursday game with only two days of practice. I really hope the Skins win this one, but it doesn't look good.
Cowboys -11 over LIONS: Jon Kitna's 10 win guarantee looks dumber and dumber every week. God must be busy Christmas shopping.
BILLS -7 over Dolphins: Bill won a close one over the Dolphins earlier in the year. Now they're trying to get in the playoffs and the dolphins just got blown out by the Jets. The Bills win this one easily.
Giants +3 over EAGLES: Tough choice for the Eagles. Do you play a gimpy McNabb or a inconsistent and mistake prone AJ Feeley. Actually it doesn't really matter, since whoever plays will be spending most of the game on their back behind the Giants pass rush. Or Eli could throw 4 picks and lose by 24.
PACKERS -10 over Raiders: Favre in Lambeau in December. Thats really all you need to know.
Rams +6.5 over BENGALS: Rams are playing pretty well ever since they got that no wins monkey off their back. The Bengals? not so much.
SEAHAWKS -7 over Cardinals: Cardinals will probably be without Boldin and Fitzgerald, and the Seahawks are looking to pad their lead in the NFC West.
Steelers +10.5 over PATRIOTS: Whoever wins the turnover battle in this one will win the game.
Browns -3 over JETS: I don't think the Steelers clinch this week, as the Browns shouldn't have a problem with the Jets.
BRONCOS -6.5 over Chiefs: An epic AFC West battle, I'm not sure how I'm going to contain the excitement.
Colts -9.5 over RAVENS: The Ravens d looked like better than they have all year against the Pats, but you can't pick them against the Colts because of one good week.
Saints -4 over FALCONS: Who the fuck knows which Saints team shows up, but what do you want me to ? pick the Falcons?

Season: 88-95-11

Money Picks*

JAGUARS -10 over Panthers: The Jags lost a close one to the Colts last week and will be looking to get their playoff run back on track this week.
Chargers -1 TITANS: LT2 seems to have found a bit of a stride.
Bucs -3 over TEXANS: The Bucs are quietly gearing up for a deep playoff run. The Texans are falling like...well something that falls pretty fast.
Vikings -8.5 over 49ERS: If the Vikings sneak into a wild card spot, they could be a dangerous team in the playoffs. If Tavaris Jackson can keep from making too many mistakes, the Purple Jesus will lead them to victory.

Season: 22-27

*Note: 5 out of 5 doctors recommend NOT following this advice. If you value your money at all, you should seriously consider NOT betting on the advice of an anonymous internet blogger.

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